Break the Curse

2Nov/090

Fantasy Flyer – Week 1 Review + Outlook

**I am happy to announce that this write-up has made it on to a main stream sports website!
The NBA season finally got underway and some surprising players are already putting up monster stats. Scroll down for Week 2 pickups.

While LeBron, Kobe, Dirk are putting up top 15 stats, there are some other real surprises.

Stars with an awesome week

Carmelo Anthony, F, Denver

You probably saw Melo shoot the lights out in all three games so far. He shot 54 percent from the floor, 88 percent on free throws and 37 PPG will get it done. He's also getting good rebound and assist numbers against just six turnovers.

Rajon Rondo, PG, Boston

He has 47 assists plus 10 steals in four games. Add 56 percent field goals and 20 rebounds to that and Rondo is really rewarding those who drafted him early.

Andrea Bargnani, F/C, Toronto

Thus far, he's putting up 22 PPG, more than two threes, with awesome efficiency numbers. Look for this to continue all season. Capable of being a top-30 fantasy player.

Shooting Stars

Channing Frye, F, Phoenix

Ridiculous shooting numbers so far, going 6-for-10 in threes in one game. You definitely want him on your team, and he's only owned in 57 percent of Yahoo! leagues. He can single-handedly carry your team's three-point need all season and add in some decent rebounding numbers. Think last season's Troy Murphy with more threes, but half the rebounds.

Danilo Gallinari, G/F, New York

Even more threes than Frye, yet only 70 percent owned so far. He should be owned in all leagues simply because the volume of threes he'll be taking (and making). Definitely capable of shooting 42 percent from long range, but he's one-dimensional and won't contribute elsewhere. His shooting percentage is bad for a forward.

Andray Blatche, F, Washington

Draining mid-range jumpers at a 72 percent clip. That'll definitely slide, but he should be a good source of blocks and rebounds as long as either Caron Butler or Antawn Jamison aren't in the lineup.

Monster Numbers

Marc Gasol, C, Memphis

Only 80 percent owned? Pick him up NOW! RIGHT NOW! There were concerns about Gasol getting enough touches with all the newcomers on the Memphis squad, but he's put up 20 PPG plus 11 RPG in three games. He'll shoot an awesome percentage from the stripe, and the field goal percentage is likely to be 55 percent-plus. He'll provide double-digit scoring and rebounding in addition to the great percentages. Turnovers might be a concern, but it should be less than three per game.

Chris Kaman, C, L.A. Clippers

Perhaps getting overshadowed by other top performers this week. He has 22 PPG, 10 RPG, 1.8 BPG with career averages of 50 percent field goals and 74 percent free throws. He's certainly capable of 15 and 12 with two blocks as seen in 2007-08 season. It's just a matter of if he's interested in basketball. Right now, the answer is yes.

Marcus Camby, C, L.A. Clippers

Puts up some gaudy scoring numbers with his usual boards and blocks. Sell high soon, as come December he won't be getting the same playing time.

Youngsters taking flight

Louis Williams, G, Philadelphia

Not getting the same attention as Frye or Danilo, but he put up big scoring numbers with just two turnovers in three games. He won't continue to shoot 63 percent, but 17 PPG-plus and 1.5-plus steals can be had. Check if he's still available!

Aaron Brooks, PG, Houston

Shouldering the scoring load for Houston, he has 22 PPG and eight APG so far. We should expect 18 PPG, 6.5 APG this season. Look for his shooting average to be closer to 43 percent than the current 49, though. He'll be a great source of threes and steals all season, but you have to take his turnovers too, which will hover over three.

Worthy mentions of non-superstars

Al Horford, C, Atlanta
Brook Lopez, C, New Jersey
Grant Hill, F, Phoenix
Marreese Speights, C, Philadelphia
Gilbert Arenas, PG, Washington
Trevor Ariza, G/F, Houston
Andrew Bynum, C, L.A. Lakers
Ryan Anderson, F, Orlando
Mario Chalmers, PG, Miami

The Poopy List (Disappointing Stars)

Jose Calderon, PG, Toronto
Monta Ellis, G, Golden State
Stephen Jackson, G, Golden State
Anthony Randolph, F, Golden State
Derrick Rose, PG, Chicago
Charlie Villanueva, F, Detroit
Baron Davis, PG, L.A. Clippers

Fallen Stars (Injured)

Pau Gasol, F/C, L.A. Lakers
Antawn Jamison, F, Washington
Devin Harris, PG, New Jersey
Mehmet Okur, C, Utah
Nate Robinson, G, New York
Caron Butler, G, Washington
Josh Howard, F, Dallas
Richard Hamilton, G, Detroit
Vince Carter, G, Orlando

Solid Pickups
Ryan Gomes, F, Minnesota

Very solid for points, rebounds and threes. Won't hurt your team in the shooting categories. Definitely deserves a spot in any standard 12-team roto league.

Brendan Haywood, C, Washington

Should be owned already. Playing the Pacers and Suns back-to-bacl late in the week. Should definitely be a good play for those two.

Ben Wallace, C, Detroit

Getting lots of playing time. The steals, blocks and rebounds are there. The free throws ... well ... have never been there.

Cory Brewer, G/F, Minnesota

Managers looking for steals and blocks should take a look at Brewer. He'll even throw in a few threes to help.

Good Luck and beat your friends or win money(or both)!

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27Aug/090

Gradebook: 22 most influential off-sesason moves(Part 2 of 4)

varejao17 Anderson Varejao re-signs with the Cleveland Cavaliers (6-yrs, $50m)
I love the energy and defense that Varejao provide, but I just don’t see worth 50 million dollars.  Varejao whined and cried his way into an absurd contract.  I do think it is necessary for the Cavs to keep Varejao but I am sure he would have settled for less.  Imagine if Lebron leaves Cleveland.  Now they are stuck paying a PF who can’t score for another 5 years.  I do rather have Varejao than Gortat since he can play more minutes during crunch time.

Grade: D+ (Cleveland Cavaliers)

16 Charlotte Bobcats traded Emeka Okafor to the New Orleans Hornets for Tyson Chandler
tysonchandlerSaving money is currently in style in the NBA, so the Hornets and Bobcats want in.  On the court, I think Okafor and Chandler are very similar players.  Okafor is a little smaller and might have trouble with tradition big centers (Shaq, D.ho, Perkins).  I believe Chandler’s stats will never approach that of 2007-08 simply because he will never play with Chris Paul again.  Both are good defensive center that can rebound and finish around the basket.

Grade: B- (Charlotte Bobcats), B- (New Orleans Hornets)

15 Trevor Ariza signs with the Houston Rockets (5-yrs, $34m)
Here is Ariza’s number from last season, by far his best: 24 mins, 46% shooting, 32% from 3pt, 4.3 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.7 steals, 8.9 points.  So over 5 seasons, his highest scoring average is still less than 10.  From this, I am having a hard time seeing how Ariza can make much of a difference.  This is not to mention that he is a terrible three point shooter.  He went on a ridiculous hot streak during last season’s playoff so people forget that he is a career 30% 3pt shooter.  I know the Lakers were really high on him and some even designate him as the Kobe successor, but I really don’t see him as much of a scoring threat.  Sure he can play defense, but he also plays the same position as Shane Battier.  And Battier can shoot the 3.  Ariza is nothing more than a complementary player and no where near the level of Ron Artest.  He cannot be a franchise player type.  I do think the contract is fairly valued, but what are they going to do with Battier’s contract?  So now the Rockets are back to where they were 2 seasons ago, but with Yao and Tmac both two years older.

Grade: B- (Houston Rockets)

14 Charlie Villanueva signs with thcv31e Detroit Pistons (5-yrs, $35m)
CV31 had a breakout season in 2008-2009, averaging 16 points and 6.7 rebounds in just 27 minutes of play.  He should be expected to at least reproduce his stats from last season since he is only 24 and will be a full time starter this season.  I think CV31 will get his stats but not sure how well he can help the team.  A starting frontline of Kwame and CV would not really excite me if I was a Pistons fan.  I think this is an extremely good deal for Detroit in monetary terms.  It is a good addition only if you discount the fact that he is replacing Rasheed Wallace.

Grade: B (Detroit Pistons)

13 Ben Gordon signs with the Detroit Pistons (5-yrs, $55m)
Personally, I have always disliked Ben Gordon.  Besides being able to score in bunches, he contributes nothing to the team.  BG is a terrible defender and a lazy one at that.  He not only turns the ball over a ton but also makes terrible decisions with the ball.  The pistons are going to live with his terrible shot selections.  Gordon can carry a team when he is hot but whatever he contributes in the offensive end, he gives it back on defense.  He was a malcontent in Chicago because he had to come off the bench.  He never really embraced the role of coming off the bench, but he will have to live with it now that he signed with the Pistons.  I am not sure how long BG will be content as a 6th man.  The contract is also quite big for BG.  For that kind of money, the Pistons could’ve gotten someone who can actually defend.  Add to the fact that the Pistons gave up Chauncey for Iverson who now turns into BG.  Joe Dumars is really going down the wrong path.

Grade: D (Detroit Pistons)

12 Paul Millsap re-signs with the Utah Jazz (4-yrs, $32m)
Millsap might be a undersized power forward but he certainly can rebound.  He is the only player in NCAA history to win the rebounding title three consecutive years.  Just that alone shows that he is a very hardworking player and can provide energy to the team.  I really like this deal especially the Jazz allegedly was going to give Millsap five years and $50 million.  Experts say that Millsap cannot replace Boozer as the starting forward.  I disagree.  Although Boozer is an all-star and what not, Millsap is a much better two way player.  Certainly Millsap doesn’t have Boozer’s offensive repertoire yet, but the Jazz still has plenty of firepower sans Boozer.  Guys like AK and Okur will get a few more touches without Boozer.  Boozer averaged 21 points 2 seasons ago when he was healthy.  Given the same playing time, I am confident Millsap can reach 17ppg.  If you count the room for improvement and his defensive hustle, there is really no drop off.  I am not just pulling this out of my ass either.  The Jazz went 26-19 last season when Boozer was out.

As I have already mentioned, the Jazz got Millsap for a good price and Boozer is still with the team.  Now, if they convert Boozer into a decent guard or good backup big, that will really boost the Jazz’s chances this season and in the future.  This is not to mention Carlos Boozer has only played 60% of all the possible games he could’ve played in with the Jazz due to injuries.

I also want to add that Paul Millsap went to Louisiana Tech University.  Guess who else went there?  Karl Malone.

Grade: A (Utah Jazz)

11 Jason Kidd re-signs with the Dallas Mavericks (3-yrs, $25m)jkiddkiss
Not much to say here besides the fact that the Mavs had to resign Kidd.  Without Kidd, the Mavs would be utterly horrible.  They traded their future away (Devin Harris) to get Jason Kidd.  They gambled for the title and it didn’t work out.  At this age, Kidd cannot stay in front of anyone on defense, but he can certainly still direct a fast break.  Unfortunately, they have Mr. NO-WIN and well… they won’t win with him.

Grade: C+ (Dallas Mavericks)

10 Golden State Warriors traded Jamal Crawford to the Atlanta Hawks for Acie Law, Speedy Claxton
I see both sides of the argument on this trade for Atlanta.  Surely Crawford will provide enough fire power off the bench.  However, I am not sure Crawford will even be as effective as Flip Murray was last season.  If it works out, Crawford/Bibby/Johnson is a scary offensive backcourt combination.  The Warriors save a lot of money with this trade and gain a possible valuable young PG in Acie.  Whether he plays or not, that’s for Don Nelson to decide.

Grade: C+ (Atlanta Hawks), B+ (Golden State Warriors)

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