Break the Curse

27Aug/090

Gradebook: 22 most influential off-sesason moves(Part 2 of 4)

varejao17 Anderson Varejao re-signs with the Cleveland Cavaliers (6-yrs, $50m)
I love the energy and defense that Varejao provide, but I just don’t see worth 50 million dollars.  Varejao whined and cried his way into an absurd contract.  I do think it is necessary for the Cavs to keep Varejao but I am sure he would have settled for less.  Imagine if Lebron leaves Cleveland.  Now they are stuck paying a PF who can’t score for another 5 years.  I do rather have Varejao than Gortat since he can play more minutes during crunch time.

Grade: D+ (Cleveland Cavaliers)

16 Charlotte Bobcats traded Emeka Okafor to the New Orleans Hornets for Tyson Chandler
tysonchandlerSaving money is currently in style in the NBA, so the Hornets and Bobcats want in.  On the court, I think Okafor and Chandler are very similar players.  Okafor is a little smaller and might have trouble with tradition big centers (Shaq, D.ho, Perkins).  I believe Chandler’s stats will never approach that of 2007-08 simply because he will never play with Chris Paul again.  Both are good defensive center that can rebound and finish around the basket.

Grade: B- (Charlotte Bobcats), B- (New Orleans Hornets)

15 Trevor Ariza signs with the Houston Rockets (5-yrs, $34m)
Here is Ariza’s number from last season, by far his best: 24 mins, 46% shooting, 32% from 3pt, 4.3 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.7 steals, 8.9 points.  So over 5 seasons, his highest scoring average is still less than 10.  From this, I am having a hard time seeing how Ariza can make much of a difference.  This is not to mention that he is a terrible three point shooter.  He went on a ridiculous hot streak during last season’s playoff so people forget that he is a career 30% 3pt shooter.  I know the Lakers were really high on him and some even designate him as the Kobe successor, but I really don’t see him as much of a scoring threat.  Sure he can play defense, but he also plays the same position as Shane Battier.  And Battier can shoot the 3.  Ariza is nothing more than a complementary player and no where near the level of Ron Artest.  He cannot be a franchise player type.  I do think the contract is fairly valued, but what are they going to do with Battier’s contract?  So now the Rockets are back to where they were 2 seasons ago, but with Yao and Tmac both two years older.

Grade: B- (Houston Rockets)

14 Charlie Villanueva signs with thcv31e Detroit Pistons (5-yrs, $35m)
CV31 had a breakout season in 2008-2009, averaging 16 points and 6.7 rebounds in just 27 minutes of play.  He should be expected to at least reproduce his stats from last season since he is only 24 and will be a full time starter this season.  I think CV31 will get his stats but not sure how well he can help the team.  A starting frontline of Kwame and CV would not really excite me if I was a Pistons fan.  I think this is an extremely good deal for Detroit in monetary terms.  It is a good addition only if you discount the fact that he is replacing Rasheed Wallace.

Grade: B (Detroit Pistons)

13 Ben Gordon signs with the Detroit Pistons (5-yrs, $55m)
Personally, I have always disliked Ben Gordon.  Besides being able to score in bunches, he contributes nothing to the team.  BG is a terrible defender and a lazy one at that.  He not only turns the ball over a ton but also makes terrible decisions with the ball.  The pistons are going to live with his terrible shot selections.  Gordon can carry a team when he is hot but whatever he contributes in the offensive end, he gives it back on defense.  He was a malcontent in Chicago because he had to come off the bench.  He never really embraced the role of coming off the bench, but he will have to live with it now that he signed with the Pistons.  I am not sure how long BG will be content as a 6th man.  The contract is also quite big for BG.  For that kind of money, the Pistons could’ve gotten someone who can actually defend.  Add to the fact that the Pistons gave up Chauncey for Iverson who now turns into BG.  Joe Dumars is really going down the wrong path.

Grade: D (Detroit Pistons)

12 Paul Millsap re-signs with the Utah Jazz (4-yrs, $32m)
Millsap might be a undersized power forward but he certainly can rebound.  He is the only player in NCAA history to win the rebounding title three consecutive years.  Just that alone shows that he is a very hardworking player and can provide energy to the team.  I really like this deal especially the Jazz allegedly was going to give Millsap five years and $50 million.  Experts say that Millsap cannot replace Boozer as the starting forward.  I disagree.  Although Boozer is an all-star and what not, Millsap is a much better two way player.  Certainly Millsap doesn’t have Boozer’s offensive repertoire yet, but the Jazz still has plenty of firepower sans Boozer.  Guys like AK and Okur will get a few more touches without Boozer.  Boozer averaged 21 points 2 seasons ago when he was healthy.  Given the same playing time, I am confident Millsap can reach 17ppg.  If you count the room for improvement and his defensive hustle, there is really no drop off.  I am not just pulling this out of my ass either.  The Jazz went 26-19 last season when Boozer was out.

As I have already mentioned, the Jazz got Millsap for a good price and Boozer is still with the team.  Now, if they convert Boozer into a decent guard or good backup big, that will really boost the Jazz’s chances this season and in the future.  This is not to mention Carlos Boozer has only played 60% of all the possible games he could’ve played in with the Jazz due to injuries.

I also want to add that Paul Millsap went to Louisiana Tech University.  Guess who else went there?  Karl Malone.

Grade: A (Utah Jazz)

11 Jason Kidd re-signs with the Dallas Mavericks (3-yrs, $25m)jkiddkiss
Not much to say here besides the fact that the Mavs had to resign Kidd.  Without Kidd, the Mavs would be utterly horrible.  They traded their future away (Devin Harris) to get Jason Kidd.  They gambled for the title and it didn’t work out.  At this age, Kidd cannot stay in front of anyone on defense, but he can certainly still direct a fast break.  Unfortunately, they have Mr. NO-WIN and well… they won’t win with him.

Grade: C+ (Dallas Mavericks)

10 Golden State Warriors traded Jamal Crawford to the Atlanta Hawks for Acie Law, Speedy Claxton
I see both sides of the argument on this trade for Atlanta.  Surely Crawford will provide enough fire power off the bench.  However, I am not sure Crawford will even be as effective as Flip Murray was last season.  If it works out, Crawford/Bibby/Johnson is a scary offensive backcourt combination.  The Warriors save a lot of money with this trade and gain a possible valuable young PG in Acie.  Whether he plays or not, that’s for Don Nelson to decide.

Grade: C+ (Atlanta Hawks), B+ (Golden State Warriors)

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17Aug/095

Blake Griffin vs. Michael Beasley

Being the No.1 pick of this year's NBA draft, Blake Griffin will be drawing unprecedented spotlight for a Clipper.  We all wonder just how good he will be.  I wont be able to predict the future but I think Griffin compares favorably with Michael Beasley, last year's 2nd pick.  Both are born in 1989 with identical height and body type.

Here are some physical and basketball attributes and on both players:

Beasley(Miami Heat)Michael Beasley

Position Height w/o Shoes Weight Wingspan Standing Reach Max Vertical 3/4 Court Sprint
SF/PF 6' 8.25" 239 7' 0.25" 8'11" 35 3.24

Beasley is projected to be Miami's starting SF while seeing some minutes at PF for the upcoming season. Like Derrick Rose, Beasley was asked to play a significant role on a marginal playoff team.  He averaged 14pts in 24mins of playing time while coming off the bench for most of the season.  Playing time should increase for Beasley but the recently acquired Quentin Richardson might be playing a significant amount of SF if coach Spoelstra wants to spread the floor for Wade.

Griffin(Los Angeles Clippers)Blake Griffin

Position Height w/o Shoes Weight Wingspan Standing Reach Max Vertical 3/4 Court Sprint
PF 6' 8.5" 248 6'11.25" 8.9" 35.5 3.28

Griffin is slotted as Clippers' starting PF and is likely to receive heavy minutes right away.  His main competitor for playing time will be Craig Smith who is also undersized.  I see Griffin easily getting 32+ mins/game.

Who will be better(this season)?

  • Inside/Post Offense

Beasley came in to the league as one of the best inside finisher who can uses his athleticism to finish with either hand.  However, Beasley has not attacked the rim at all during his rookie season.  His abysmal 3 freethrow attempts/game and low inside shot attempts clearly show he is simply settling for contested perimeter shots against taller defenders.  Miami's SF position averaged almost 4 less free throw attempts per game than the opposite SF.  Some of this may be caused by Miami's offensive sets as only 15% of his shot attempts came from post-up moves.  This means he is not getting plays called for him inside and he is always hanging around the perimeter. Now facing taller and better NBA defenders, Beasley's lack of a go-to post move really restricts his offensive potential as an undersized 4.  Miami's SFs were outscored by 6points per game by opposition's SF.  This is a very significant margin and shows the ineffectiveness of Beasley's offense.

At Oklahoma, Griffin was a dominant finisher around the rim while shooting 65% and grabbing 14.4 boards per game.  I strongly believe Griffin's inside game will translate in the NBA much better than Beasley's.  As Griffin will playing only power forward, he will be getting more opportunities close to the basket.  He also has the benefit not having Wade on his team and Mike Dunleavy's preference to run half court sets.  Unlike Beasley, Blake Griffin lacks a true outside shot so he won't be hanging around the perimeter much.

Edge: Blake Griffin

  • Perimeter Shooting & Passing

Beasley is a very good midrange shooter and he also shot 40% from 3s last season.  He is guaranteed to have more 3pt attempts this season.  The Heat should also expect improvement on his 44% shooting from 17 feet and out.  Beasley is not much of a passer or ball handler but he wasn't drafted to pass the ball.  As he gains more experience, his passing and decision making will improve somewhat closer to NBA average.

Griffin is definitely an inferior shooter to Beasley.  Although he is reported working hard on it and also made a few 3s in Las Vegas summer league, his outside shooting will be a weakness for this season.  Midrange jumpers should eventually be part of his offensive repertoire but that is years away.  Griffin has above average ball handling skills and shows willingness to pass the rock in college.  Rookie mistakes are expected but he will fare better and be less turnover-prone than Beasley.  It should be noted that Griffin is a terrible ft shooter(59%).

Edge: Michael Beasley

  • Defense & Rebounding

Beasley has been a surprising bad rebounder for the Heat.  Given his size, atheltism and rebounding prowess in college, he should've been an above rebounder at the 3 spot.  Being lazy and constantly being on the perimeter/out of position can explain his low rebounding rate.  Beasley is frankly an astrocious defender, and now it will only be worse as he spends more time as the SF this season.

As perviously mentioned, Griffin should be spending most of his time inside 15' which makes it more likely his rebounding dominance from college will carry over.  Griffin won't be a good defender this season but he definitely has the potential and work ethic.

Edge: Blake Griffin

All in all, Beasley seems to lack the drive and mentality for success.  Certainly it seems like Chicago made the correct choice in picking Rose, esspecially if Beasley continues to settle for perimeter shots this season.  Beasley should add to his scoring as he will be getting plent of playing time.  18ppg should be very doable as well as one 3 each game.  Blake Griffin will be a far more effective player as a rookie.  I see him playing like a David Lee and approaching 15/8 this season with 32 mins of playing time.  I believe his work ethic/unselfish attitude and better defensive potential make Griffin a more worthy #1 pick.

Stats used in this article are extracted from draftexpress.com and 82games.com


BallHype: hype it up!

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