Break the Curse

13Nov/092

Clippers (3-6) vs Toronto Raptors (4-4)

Gameday Haiku

Bargnani shooting,
Chris Bosh throwing down monstrous
dunks; oh me on my.

First Look

Raptors are starting its long west coast road trip tonight at Los Angeles.chris_bosh_mainpredatorFrom what I have seen, the Raptors are the best 2nd tier team behind the East's big 3.  Their record does not reflect this, just 4-4, with some tough losses.  Without Eric Gordon, the Clippers are really in disarray at the wing positions.  Butler/Thornton combo is simply too weak against other NBA starting combos.  The Clippers catch a break today with the Raptors starting Demar DeRozan who is not of NBA starter quality yet.

  • Clipper bigs will be lost.
    Bargnani is taking five 3s a game while making close to half of them. Bosh will also be shooting an array of midrange/outside jumpers. Kaman and Camby simply won't be able to defend them on the perimeter.  Hopefully Kaman will be able to muscle up Bargnani inside.
  • Jose Calderon
    He is not having the kind of statistically driven season that we are used to seeing the past two years.  He has uncharacteristically missed a few free throws and is shooting far below career norm from the field.  His assists numbers are also down due to Hedo Turkoglu's influence.  Having Hedo means taking the ball out of Calderon's hand.  This has brought his average from nine assists per game to six.  He is reduced to spot up duty on many possessions.  Jarrett Jack signing the full mid-level exception with the Raptors also mean Calderon's playing time is reduced.
  • Baron Davis
    For the Clippers to have any chance of winning, we need a big game from Bdiddy that we really haven't seen since his addition to the team. Davis has played fine so far and looked to be enjoying his job. Let's hope he can step up to night and be the star he once was.
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30Nov/090

Heavy Dose on the House 11/30/09

1/30

1. Warriors -2 vs Indiana 1.1u
2. Bulls/Bucks UNDER195 1.1u
3. Grizzlies +9 @ Utah 1.02u

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19Nov/090

Fire Mike Dunleavy Petition

http://www.petitiononline.com/clip7777/petition.html

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15Nov/090

Heavy Doose on the House 11/15/09

Since it is somewhat difficult to update the blog while looking at lines especially for half time plays, add me on twitter to get real time picks. ClipperCurse

2009-10 NBA - YTD: 25-22-1, +2.52u ATS: 17-18-1 Totals: 8-4 Parlay Plays: -0.4u

11/15

1) Rockets/Lakers OVER201   1.07u

Mavs/Pistons OVER184 looks tasty thou.

11/14

1) hornets +12.5 @ atlanta 1u L
2) nets +13 @ miami 1.08u W
3) jazz +13 @ cleveland 1.03u W
4) wizards -3.5 vs detroit 1.02u L goddamn wizards

11/13

I added Knicks 3Q -2 for 2 units

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13Nov/090

Heavy Dose on the House 11/13/09

no plays yesterday

11/13

1) Twolves +11 vs Dallas 1.08u
2) Nets +15.5 @ Orlando 1.03u
3) Kings +5 vs Houston 1.06u
4) Kings/Rockets OVER207.5 1.02u

Clippers/Raptors line is funny. Raptors went fomr -3 to -1 despite 75% public on them.  No injuries either.  Basketball instinct tells me Clippers cant hang with Raptors tonight.  Betting instincts say go with the clippers to beat a bad road team. probably no play on this.  check back for update

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13Nov/090

Globetrotter 11/12/09

TNLP: Clippers are cursed you say; here is TNLP's take on the misfortune.

Boston.com:  Rajon Rondo is one of my favorite players.  This editorial looks into what went on with the stalled contract negotiations between the Celtics and Rondo.  It also talks about Rondo's attitude towards the coach, team and his own play.

Youtube: Dwyane Wade's dunk on Varejao deserves another view in 720p HD.

HoopedUpOnline: HoopedUp's eccentric take on a well... eccentric team.

Youtube: Sir Charles, You can only use TWO words!

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11Nov/090

Heavy Dose on the House 11/11/09

11/11
1) Raptors -5.5 vs Chicago 1.05u
2) Pacers -5.5 vs Golden State 1.04u
3) Jazz +11.5 @ Boston 1.03u
4) Grizzlies +9 @ Houston 1.02u
5) Clippers/OKC UNDER186 1.05u
GL lets win money

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11Nov/090

Clippers (3-5) vs Oklahoma City (3-4)

Gameday Haiku
Hornets buzz by us
Here comes Durant with Thunder
I sense hopelessness

First Look

Oklahoma City is a top defensive so far this season.  They even held the Kings to 101 at Sacramento last night.  Without Eric Gordon, Clippers really don't have much firepower against the Thunder.  Kaman should have a bounce back game against inferior defenders but Butler and Thornton won't get many opportunities against OKC's athletic perimeter players.   The Clippers are unlikely to regain their hot shooting start and with Butler at SG, Coach Dunleavy will look to lower the attack pace.

So look for a low scoring game tonight in the 80s.

  • Kevin Durant
    He hadn't shot well so far this season, but he went for 37 points, 18-18 at the strip last night.  He averaged 28points against us last year in four games.
  • Russell WestbrookChico St UCLA Basketball
    He is still averaging a ton of turnovers after leading the league in this category last year.  Currently at 55assist:32turnovers.  His field goal percentage is up but he is still not much of a long range gunner, at 31%.
  • Oklahoma City is allowing an average of 82.3 points on 38.8 percent shooting in four solid defensive games, going 3-1 in those contests. However, the Thunder are yielding 102.3 points on 50.2 percent shooting in losing its other three.
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    10Nov/090

    Heavy Dose on the House 11/10/09

    1-1 last night

    I am glad I stayed out of the Raptors/Spurs game last night. that was seriously a mind****.
    I am a freakin God at predicting Clippers games. 5-0
    I suck at Wizards and Suns.

    11/10
    1 game
    1) Charlotte +3.5 vs Orlando 1.05u
    80% public on Orlando yet the lines haven't move. Charlotte has the bigs to limit Dho's impact and I think it is likely the Magic run out energy with all these players out. Jameer hadn't played well and I don't see him beating the Bobcat's D tonight. Only worried about Vince being out and Magic coming out in the 1H real strong.

    Add:
    2) OKC/Sacramento over 199.
    OKC's 4th rank defense is primarily dependable on their schedule so far. They are actually one of the worst teams at defending the 3s so far this season. Kings play no defense at home and this should be no different. Look for Durant and/or Westbrook to explode for a huge night. Both teams are awful at rebounding, which should translate to more points too.

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    9Nov/090

    Clippers (3-4) vs New Orleans Hornets (2-5)

    Gameday Haiku
    Almighty Chris Paul
    dropping dimes to David West;
    May I plead ’Mercy?"

    First Look

    I hate to be pessimistic but Clippers will have trouble without Eric Gordon.  Baron will have plenty of trouble with CP3, everyone does; Thornton starting and playing 40+ means is very unappealing.  David West had two mediocre games in a row so I will watch out for him to make it up tonight.  Plus he has the ability to draw Camby away from protecting the rim.

    • CP3thumbsChris Paul is Godlike
      He is averaging 27 points a game this season but he is just not getting the support from his teammates.  He is also not getting the amount of steals we are used to seeing.  Not sure what is wrong there.
    • Outstanding Okafor
      He's been quietly averaging 12p/11r/2b over 7 games.  This is a major upgrade from Tyson Chandler which makes it strange that the Hornets are playing so poorly.  He is a premier low post defender with the size to bother Kaman.

    Preview: Clipsnation | At The Hive

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